Author: blass uri
Date: 02:17:12 07/18/00
Go up one level in this thread
On July 18, 2000 at 04:02:03, Dann Corbit wrote: >On July 18, 2000 at 02:58:00, blass uri wrote: > >>On July 18, 2000 at 02:31:04, blass uri wrote: >> >>>Some people(probably Hyatt and Hsu) believe that Deep Junior has no chance >>>against Deep blue chip if Hsu decide to develop it. >>>Some people(probably amir Ban) believe that the opposite is correct. >>> >>> >>>I suggest the sides will do a bet of 100,000$ about the question who is right. > >$100,000 won't even begin to cover Hsu's costs. Make it several million >dollars, and I think you will see action. But who's going to sponsor it? Are >either Hsu or Amir stupid enough to bet millions of dollars on a hunch? I think that I remember that is a big price but not several millions but maybe I remember wrong. > >>>If Amir is sure that Deep Junior is better then he can agree to a match about >>>this question. >>> >>>If hsu is sure that he is going to win in a 20 game match then he can agree >>>about a match and agree about a date in 2001 to begin the match. >>>Hsu does not have to worry about the risk of losing money to develop his chip >>>because the money can come from winning the bet. > >The chip is pretty much developed already. But the major costs come from >elsewhere. The $100K won't even cover the documentation costs. > >>>I believe that people from both sides can also be involved in the bet to support >>>the programmers. >>> >>>Example: Bob Hyatt may put money on the bet for Deep blue chip and if Deep blue >>>chip wins then Hsu is going to get half of the money. > >What?! > >>>Do the sides agree to this idea? > >That's just about the nuttiest thing I have ever heard. > >>I think that there is a better idea because I am not sure if a bet is legal. >> >>If Hsu wants to sell his Deep blue Chip in the future he can do this match >>without a bet in 2001 and I guess that if Deep Blue Chip wins then he can sell >>at least 5000 deep blue chips. >> >>If he earns 100$ for every Deep blue chip he can earn enough money to justify >>the money that he needs to pay in order to develop the deep blue chip. > >I think you are seriously underestimating the development costs. And just >because it works does not mean there will be a market. > >>The fact that Hsu does not do it cause people to believe that amir is right >>about deep blue and that Deep Junior is better than Deeper blue. > >If they formed such a bet, I would conclude that both parties were idiots. If one party is sure about winning the bet then this side is not idiot. I am not sure about the result but both sides(at least from the posts of Amir ban and Bob hyatt) seem to be sure. The only problem is that I am not sure if it is legal. Uri
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