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Subject: Re: But Not Yet As Good As Deep Blue '97

Author: blass uri

Date: 12:25:09 07/18/00

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On July 18, 2000 at 14:53:35, Graham Laight wrote:

>On July 17, 2000 at 19:18:27, Amir Ban wrote:
>
>>On July 17, 2000 at 18:13:04, Graham Laight wrote:
>>
>>>On July 17, 2000 at 16:09:09, Amir Ban wrote:
>>>
>>>>On July 17, 2000 at 07:22:41, Graham Laight wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>I'm afraid I still feel that Junior could have come out ahead (instead of
>>>>>level)in this tournament by beating Bareev and Khalifman - and possibly by not
>>>>>losing with such apparent ease to Kramnik. Continuing the game against Anand
>>>>>might possibly have gained an extra half point as well.
>>>>>
>>>>>I think that Amir has an aspiration to make his program demonstably better than
>>>>>Deep Blue (this certainly comes across in his interviews published on the
>>>>>Chessbase Website coverage of Dortmund (www.chessbase.com) before the Kramnik
>>>>>game). If so, as a (hopefully!) impartial member of the viewing public, I'm
>>>>>afraid to say that I've yet to be convinced.
>>>>>
>>>>>As evidence, I point firstly to the games against Bareev and Khalifman. On both
>>>>>occasions when Deep Blue '97 gained an advantage over Gary Kasparov (who's a
>>>>>better player than anyone at Dortmund was), it parlayed that advantage into
>>>>>victory - whilst Deep Junior twice failed conspicuously to "slam in the lamb".
>>>>>
>>>>>I would also point to the game against Kramnik. Here we see Deep Junior lose
>>>>>to a combination of blocked centre and king attack - classic anti computer
>>>>>methods which have both been well known for a long time. They work because, in
>>>>>this case, nothing short of truly massive search depth is going to help you to
>>>>>make the correct moves.
>>>>>
>>>>>However, for both king attack and blocked centre, Deep Blue '97 demonstrated
>>>>>that it's evaluation knowledge was able to adequately handle the challenge.
>>>>>Indeed, in game 2 in '97, Deep Blue not only handled the blocked centre, it
>>>>>turned it into a win!
>>>>>
>>>>>It took Deep Blue 2 attempts to beat Gary Kasparov, the world's best player -
>>>>>maybe another year of work will push Deep Junior to a position where it can try
>>>>>to win these tournaments, instead of settling for a middling position.
>>>>>
>>>>>But let's not be completely churlish - Dortmund 2000 was indeed a fantastic
>>>>>performance by Deep Junior - and a landmark in computer chess history, since
>>>>>here is both a computer and a program which one can buy in the shops!
>>>>
>>>>I disagree with most of this, but it's your opinion, and if experience teaches
>>>>us anything, it's useless to argue.
>>>
>>>I _do_ change my mind about things. For example, earlier this year there was a
>>>debate about whether the SSDF ratings were inflated.
>>>
>>>Here are the top 3 computers on the current (April 2000) list (using 450 MHz):
>>>
>>>Computer    Rating   Error Margin
>>>========    ======   ============
>>>
>>>Fritz       2721     + - 38
>>>Junior      2689     + - 30
>>>Tiger       2671     + - 32
>>>
>>>I admit it took quite a debate, but I'm now willing to concede that, compared to
>>>FIDE ELO ratings, these ratings are too high. Also, I am now willing to admit
>>>that a stronger performance against other computers does not necessarily mean a
>>>stronger performance against top human players.
>>>
>>>Sometimes, some people ARE willing to listen to what the others are saying!
>>>
>>
>>I did not mean you in particular, and no offense meant. Experience tells that
>>everything about Deep Blue's career of 12 games has already been said. Everyone
>>made up his mind one way or the other, and that's it.
>>
>>
>>>>For the record, I'm not trying to prove that I'm better than Deep Blue. I think
>>>>I've already shown this some time ago, and I'm not the only one who can say so
>>>>either.
>>>
>>>This may be true - but if it is than I, trying to be as impartial as I can be,
>>>have to honestly say that it's not clear to me.
>>>
>>>>Looking at the (very few) games of DB, I don't see that it had either better
>>>>evaluation or deeper search than today's top programs.
>>>>
>>>>Amir
>>>
>>>Fine - but at the risk of being repetitive, let me briefly restate the evidence
>>>that points to it having better evaluation (and probably a deeper search):
>>>
>>>* It won a 6 game exhibition against the greatest chess player in history
>>>(Junior came "equal" in 9 games against lower rated opposition)
>>>
>>>* Junior failed to win 2 games in which it had a significant advantage, wheras,
>>>in 1997, once it was ahead, Deep Blue never failed to "slam in the lamb".
>>>
>>>* Against Kramnik, Junior fell heavily to the blocked centre, and the king
>>>attack. Deep Blue actually won one of its games from a blocked centre position
>>>(game 2, '97).
>>>
>>>As a mere hobby observer, you can surely see why I might not feel that Junior's
>>>equality (or improvement) in evaluation or search depth have been clearly
>>>demonstrated to me.
>>>
>>
>>The answer is: look at the games, and study the moves. If you understand chess,
>>and you understand how computers play chess, this can tell you a lot about the
>>quality of the evaluation and how deep the program gets. I'm not saying
>>everybody is qualified to do this, you obviously need to be some sort of expert
>>to be able to judge.
>>
>>A grandmaster can identify a strong chess player by looking at his games. Do you
>>believe he bases this judgement only on the result ?
>>
>>By the way, getting an advantage is quite an achievement in itself and you must
>>play well to get it (unless it's handed to you as a free gift as in the DB match
>>6th game). It's a fact of life in chess that not all advantages end up as wins,
>>and this doesn't reflect on the level of the player with the advantage. What do
>>you think of a game where you have a disadvantage and win, as against Leko ?
>
>Unfortunately (?!?), my girlfriend did not allow me to watch the game in full,
>but from what I did see, Leko appeared to sacrifice material to gain a strong
>attack. The GM commentator (Roman, I think) said that this was a reckless thing
>to do against a computer, because they will defend against attacks in this type
>of position very well. Therefore, the impression I got was that Leko decided to
>gamble on a win so that he could possibly get (or share) 1st place. Clearly, in
>the event, the gamble failed - and the price he paid was to lose the game.
>
>It may be that, between the sacrifice, and the result coming in, Peter did
>obtain a winning position from which Junior had to fight back.
>
>>Also by the way, most of Junior's games in Dortmund were closed positions, not
>>only the 2 losses. In at least two other games (Bareev, Akopian), it fought for
>>a win, but got only a draw. This is a good description of what happened to Deep
>>Blue in the 2nd game.
>
>But none of the grandmasters there knew it was a draw! In fact, none of them
>even thought there might be a draw - the position looked so terminal that they
>just assumed that Gary was correct to resign.

I think that the opposite happened.
The GM assumed after Gary resigned that it must be a loss for Gary because they
believed that gary will not resign a draw position.

Gary did not know deeper blue so he assumed that it is impossible to outsearch
it so he even did not check the possibility of sacrificing a piece.

Uri



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