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Subject: Re: Samsung Plans Alpha Motherboard Screamers For PC Prices

Author: Keith Ian Price

Date: 19:31:15 11/15/97

Go up one level in this thread


On November 15, 1997 at 14:39:31, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On November 15, 1997 at 04:40:15, Keith Ian Price wrote:
>
>>On November 14, 1997 at 22:23:20, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On November 14, 1997 at 21:22:36, Keith Ian Price wrote:
>>>
>>>>On November 14, 1997 at 08:18:06, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On November 14, 1997 at 01:52:31, Keith Ian Price wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On November 13, 1997 at 12:19:31, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>see article: http://www.currents.net/newstoday/97/11/11/news5.html
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Interesting article.   Lots of power 400 to 700 MHZ,
>>>>>>>Lots of RAM (up to 3 gigabytes).
>>>>>>>128 bit cache (up to 4 megabytes L3)
>>>>>>>64 bit power
>>>>>>>Native Windows NT 5.0, no translation needed.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I hope this puts pressure on Intel!!  :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Looks like 1998 might bring some competition.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Best Regards,
>>>>>>>Chris Carson
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Intel plans to have a 450 Mhz Pentium II by the end of 1998 with a
>>>>>>100Mhz bus and 2MB of 450 MHz L2 cache. With this size and speed of
>>>>>>cache, I think that for computer chess, this Intel machine will easily
>>>>>>outdistance a 600Mhz cheap Alpha, and would be price competitive with
>>>>>>the 600 Mhz Alphas from DEC at that time. Which should be half the price
>>>>>>they are today. Merced--IA64--due in 1999, should reach 1 Ghz by the end
>>>>>>of 2000. This is, of course, still an unknown player. I think they feel
>>>>>>the pressure.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>kp
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Of course, within the year DEC's 21264 will be out, so comparing with
>>>>>the
>>>>>PII/450 is a poor comparison.  How would a PII/450 compare to a 21264 at
>>>>>one gigahertz?
>>>>
>>>>I thought we were talking about cheap Alphas. Not $10,000+ Alphas. With
>>>>price and compatibility taken into consideration, I'd take the PII 450,
>>>>which will be more than half the speed, most likely. Almost doubling
>>>>speed for an additional $5000-8000 is not an option for me. Which is why
>>>>600 Mhz Alphas don't really compare to a $2500 PII-300 today.
>>>>
>>>>kp
>>>>
>>>
>>>Notice that you can go buy a 533 mhz alpha for under 5,000 bucks right
>>>now,
>>>which is about what you'd pay for a good PII/300.
>>
>>I can get a very nice PII-300 for $2499 from Quantex right now, with 8.4
>>gig 9ms hard drive and 64 MB. The new LX chipset and AGP card are also
>>included with 17-in.monitor. And weren't you talking about the 21264?
>>
>
>Depends.  If you are talking about a PII/300, then I'm talking about a
>21164, which I can buy for not quite 2x what you paid, and which is more
>than twice as fast.

But only on Crafty. And 2X speed for 2X money is a bad deal on
higher-end computers unless you're Dollar Bill Gates. 2X speed doesn't
even get you another ply, so performance at today's levels requires 10X
speed for it to be worth 2X $2500.

>But you also mentioned a PII/450 next year, and for that I'd compare it
>to
>the 21264/1000, or maybe even only /800, which will likely be available
>at
>less than 2x the cost atain, and provide more like 3x the speed.
>
>Poing being Intel isn't the only company.  I love the P6.  I'll love the
>P6
>when it is re-released to replace th PII, early next year.  But they
>don't
>come anywhere near the alpha.  And when you factor price/performance,
>the
>alpha still looks real good.  IE 2x the PII/300 performance at less than
>2X the cost.


But 2X is not enough for chess. And 3X is not worth an extra $6000 for
the 21264.

>>>And running Crafty, that
>>>533 mhz alpha would be about twice as fast.
>>
>>The 533 Mhz Alpha would definitely not be twice as fast as the PII-300
>>running anything but Crafty, and I was pretty sure I heard you tell
>>Chris Whittington that it was only 20-25% faster than his PII-300, not
>>twice as fast.
>
>
>Sorry, but we got better data.  Here are the *real* numbers, just for
>discussion:  our "benchmark" suite of 6 positions, 2 each from opening,
>middlegame and endgame, averages 80K nodes per second on our P6/200's.
>On the 500mhz alpha, this same test suite runs at 250K nodes per second
>average.  which is 3.1X faster.
>
>The PII/300 we have here (running both linux and NT) is not quite 1.5X
>faster than my P6/200, which is about what is expected.  But this
>*still*
>leaves the alpha at 2x faster.
>
>The first numbers we discussed were numbers Bruce provided (/533 = 1.75X
>faster than his P6/200) but were based on a program that does almost
>everything
>in 32bit mode, while crafty does almost everything with 64bit words.  I
>get a
>lot more.

So you agree, only Crafty would improve by the 2X speed.

>>
>>>IE the PII/300 is not quite 1.5X faster than the P6/200 due to the poor
>>>L2 cache clock speed.  The alpha/500 is 3.1 times faster than the P6/200
>>>running Crafty.
>>
>>Is this what you told Chris? I thought Bruce said that it was 1.5-1.75
>>times as fast as the P6-200, running Ferret.
>
>this is correct.  I didn't have the /500 numbers at the time.  Jason ran
>these tests after getting to Paris and playing around with compiler
>options
>on our 500 mhz alpha over there.  the 533 should be 5% faster than this
>or
>so, based on clock speed...
>
>
>>
>>>By the time you can buy a PII/450, you will certainly be able to buy an
>>>alpha/600 for the same price-level, and run faster.
>>
>>I think the PII-450 will be faster than the Alpha 600 running most chess
>>programs, probably even Crafty. The 2MB of L2 cache at 450 Mhz is more
>>important than the extra 150 Mhz. If the Alpha is slightly faster
>>(running the one chess program I will be able to compile
>>natively-Crafty), it won't be noticeable, but the software
>>non-compatibility will be.
>
>I disagree, but we'll have to wait to see.  But the PII/300 is less than
>1/2
>as fast as the 500mhz alpha.  So it has a ways to catch up...



>>>And it won't be
>>>long,
>>>after the 1ghz alphas come out, that the 750mhz version will be
>>>price-competitive with Intel.
>>
>>And when Merced comes out, the PII-300 will be entry level for $1000
>>bucks, so what?
>>
>>
>>>And then there are the PPC's which are already faster than the pentium
>>>machines, unfortunately, and getting faster.  They will be at 1ghz
>>>before
>>>the alpha apparently...
>>
>>The G3 has a better shot than the Alpha. But it's still a long shot. I'm
>>not an Intel supporter. I've been programming computers since 1968, and
>>the first Intel machine I bought was a 486. I've always been a
>>value-for-money person, and right now, Intel or K6 is it. I'd love it if
>>Digital could come out with a machine that blows the doors off anything
>>else. I used to love the old PDP-11 I had, and I used to run Checkmo, a
>>DECUS program that played horrible chess on a PDP-8, but it was fun to
>>watch. I'll buy whatever I think represents the best value.
>>
>>kp
>
>They have the machine you describe, because nothing Intel has is even
>close to
>the alpha.  But it is pricier.  Of course part of this is caused by the
>fact
>that the intel products (at present) pump 64 bits over the bus to feed
>32bit
>superscalar execution units.  The alpha pumps 128 and 256 bits over the
>buss
>to feed 64bit superscalar units.  Merced is not going to be a linear
>increase
>in cost.  Doubling the buss width to feed a real 64bit processor is not
>going
>to come cheap, and will narrow the gap between intel and digital pricing
>I
>suspect.  How much it closes the performance gap (if any) is unknown at
>present of course...

Still, the PII-450 will be at least 10X times my current P150s, which
makes it worth the extra cost over the cheap 150 non-MMX units I just
bought in September. 2 or 3X isn't worth thousands of dollars to me.
Just a difference in perception, I guess. Then again, I don't have to
try to win the WMCCC next year, so I can afford to wait. Nice discussing
things with you, Bob.

kp



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