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Subject: Re: But Not Yet As Good As Deep Blue '97

Author: blass uri

Date: 16:55:29 07/22/00

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On July 22, 2000 at 19:18:23, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On July 22, 2000 at 18:53:39, blass uri wrote:
>
>>On July 22, 2000 at 17:38:49, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On July 22, 2000 at 10:20:58, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>
>>>>On July 22, 2000 at 07:46:00, Ed Schröder wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On July 20, 2000 at 21:50:06, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On July 20, 2000 at 15:47:53, Ed Schröder wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On July 20, 2000 at 14:50:48, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On July 20, 2000 at 14:26:16, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On July 20, 2000 at 13:03:42, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>2 years ago a single DB chip played several matches with top commercial
>>>>>>>>>>programs.  This DB chip was running at 1/10th of its normal speed, and yet
>>>>>>>>>>it won 36 out of 40 games.  This has been reported several times here on CCC,
>>>>>>>>>>by several that have heard Hsu and Campbell give talks about the DB hardware.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>If it could win 90% of the games running at 1/10th the normal speed for one
>>>>>>>>>>chip, what does 480 chips at full speed get (hint:  4,800 times faster).  Would
>>>>>>>>>>you think it might have a pretty easy time with today's programs?  quads or
>>>>>>>>>>8-way boxes as you want?
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Games against P90 machines.  What were the program versions? what were
>>>>>>>>>the settings?  Who was the operator?  Which book was used?  Where are
>>>>>>>>>the games for inspection?  Did the DB team get permission to perform
>>>>>>>>>this tournament and permission to report results?  Were you there?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I was there.  The program authors were there.  That was a requirement for the
>>>>>>>>ACM events.  We all sat across the board from each other.  Marty.  Ed.  Richard.
>>>>>>>>Hsu.  Myself.  anybody else you would care to name...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Nah.... you are talking on late 80th's Rebel running on a 5 Mhz 6502
>>>>>>>processor with 32 Kb Ram Rebel doing just 500 NPS. Your point again?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Ed
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I like the math game...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>so lets see.. you were doing 500NPS in 1988?  And today you are doing maybe
>>>>>>500K?  A factor of 1,000?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>They were doing 300K in 1988.  They hit 1B in 1997.  1,000,000,000 divided by
>>>>>>300,000 is how many times faster?  3,333 X faster you say?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Now do you get my point?  They have widened the NPS gap by a factor of 3.5
>>>>>>since 1988.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>_that_ is my point. The gap has continually _widened_.  _not_ _narrowed_...
>>>>>
>>>>>Wrong math.
>>>>>
>>>>>From the IBM site (1988)
>>>>>
>>>>>   "Deep Thought 0.01 becomes
>>>>>    Deep Thought 0.02 and
>>>>>    improves to 720,000 chess
>>>>>    positions per second. The new
>>>>>    program includes two
>>>>>    customized VLSI chess
>>>>>    processors.
>>>>>
>>>>>So 720,000 and not 300,000
>>>>>
>>>>>Your second mistake is the 1B. Where did you read that? You know very
>>>>>well 200M is claimed, no quoting needed.
>>>>>
>>>>>So 200M / 720K = not even 300 times faster.
>>>>>
>>>>>As you say Rebel improved with a factor of 1000 (3½ times more than DB)
>>>>>nota bene the exact opposite you claim.
>>>>>
>>>>>Not that such math impresses me (as if computer chess is about hardware
>>>>>only) but I do you like you the fact you have an argument less.
>>>>>
>>>>>Ed
>>>>
>>>>Ed,
>>>>
>>>>Besides the impressive speed up that you point out, I would also
>>>>point out that Rebel improved at least as much from the SW side.
>>>>
>>>>You get a lot out of the HW you target for.  :)
>>>>
>>>>Best Regards,
>>>>Chris Carson
>>>
>>>
>>>And the DT/DB program didn't improve?  Have you read the JICCA paper on their
>>>search extensions? It is probably the _standard_ reference for search extensions
>>>and null-move testing.  What says that their software didn't improve?  a desire
>>>to paint them in the worst possible light???
>>
>>I have no evidence that their software was improved.
>>They are not commercial so we cannot test it.
>>Their papers prove nothing and the only proof is in games.
>>
>>The fact that they did bad result in 1995 and did not play public games after it
>>to prove that they were unlucky is an evidence that their software did not
>>improve.
>>
>
>
>
>You keep saying "they did a bad result in 1995" when all they did was lose
>one game.  Based on that criteria, _everybody_ sucks with two straws.  I can
>look at the last 10 years of WMCCC (or WCCC) events and find a tournament
>where any program you chose lost at least one game, and probably more.  Does
>that mean they did "bad"?
>
>It is interesting that the measuring stick for "good/bad" is way different
>for DB and the rest of the programs.  Everybody else can lose 1-2 games in
>a single tournament and be happy.  Shredder lost in the last WMCCC event
>yet it won the tournament. I assume that was a "bad" result?  No?  Then
>DB lost one game in 1995 and that was a bad result?  Yes?

DB lost one game and drew another game.
It is a bad result because people expected it to win because of their big
hardware advnatage.

If you got 90% in the past then less than 90% is a bad result so everything less
than 4.5 out of 5 for Deep blue was a bad result.

Shredder did a good result in WCCC because people did not expect it to
win(Junior and Fritz and Ferret had hardware advantage and shredder had no
history of winning).

>
>I guess I don't get it then...  I'd love to win 100% of the games.  That is
>not realistic.  Which means I guess I am destined to have bad results all
>the time.
>
>
>
>>If they could get more than 90% against Fritz3(p90) they had no reason to avoid
>>proving it to the world before the match with kasparov.
>>
>>Uri
>
>Sure they did.  They were working like mad to get the thing ready.  Hsu's book
>is eye-opening on how close they cut things.  They were even considering the
>possibility that they would have to postpone the first match, because the IC
>FAB shop screwed up badly on the first few batches of chips and none worked.
>They didn't have time to do _anything_ but get ready for Kasparov, and they
>_barely_ made it.  Same for 1997...  same sort of fab problems with the new
>chip, time-consuming test procedures for each and every chip and the DB team
>did _all_ the testing, etc...

If this is the case then when did they have time to get more than 90% against
Fritz3?

I think that they could do better by postponing the match and playing a match
against Fritz3(p90) first.

Uri



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