Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: when will it be over????

Author: ShaktiFire

Date: 10:17:53 07/27/00

Go up one level in this thread


On July 26, 2000 at 20:27:34, walter irvin wrote:

>deep blue done defeated the best human 1997 .pc programs get faster and better
>.anyone care to speculate what year it will be when : you can be sure that your
>pc program can make shredded wheat out of the top ten GM ? my guess is 2010 . by
>then all GM's  will be out rated by 350 to 500 points .also by that time pc
>programs will be much stronger than deep blue ,some are close now .

All GMs outrated by 350 to 500 points by 2010?  Way too optimistic.
By 2010, the programs will get around 5 more plies calculation per
move.  This should put them around 2800 rating, on par with the top
human, but not making shredded wheat out of him :-).



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.