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Subject: Re: HandiCapping The WCCM2000

Author: Alvaro Rodriguez

Date: 09:14:14 08/15/00

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On August 15, 2000 at 11:09:40, pavel wrote:

>On August 15, 2000 at 10:42:57, Peter Skinner wrote:
>
>>=================================================
>>
>>Frans Morsch,Fritz-
>>Ed Schroder/Jeroen Noomen,Rebel-
>>Ed Schroder/Jeroen Noomen/Christophe Theron,ChessTiger-
>>James Robertson,Insomniac-
>>Franck ZIBI,ZChess
>>Bruno BRAS,Pacque Expert
>>?lvaro Begu? Aguado,Ruy-Lopez
>>Robert Hyatt,CRAFTY-
>>Rudolf Huber,SOS-
>>Stefan Meyer-Kahlen,Shredder-
>>Vincent Diepeveen,DIEP-
>>Tony Werten,XiniX
>>Chrilly Donninger,Nimzo-8-
>>Tom King,Francesca
>>Amir Ban/Shay Bushinsky,Junior-
>>
>>=================================================
>>
>>This year is a fantastic field. These are the picks for the order of finish, I
>>feel will happen. ? are made due to versions playing unknown.
>>
>>1. Nimzo 8
>>2. Shredder 5?
>>3. Crafty 17.13?
>>4. ChessTiger 12.9?
>>5. Junior 6?
>>6. Fritz 7?
>>7. Rebel
>>8. SOS
>>9. Insomniac
>>10. Diep
>>11. ZChess
>>12. Francesca
>>13. Ruy-Lopez
>>14. Pacque Expert
>>15. XiniX
>>
>>I think Nimzo has the inside track on this years tourney. Every year, Nimzo is
>>strong due to it's wide tournament book, but this year it has added strength, so
>>I think it really can't lose.
>>
>>I also believe that Shredder is the only one really that can challenge Nimzo for
>>top spot. Shredder hasn't lost a WCCC game in 2 years, and could be very tough,
>>but I expect it to lose to Nimzo.
>>
>>Crafty running on the Alpha is going to be very tough to beat, but I don't think
>>it can take out the top 2 to get the title.. would be great so see, but not this
>>year I am afraid. I don't want to call it a sleeper due to it's strength, but
>>Crafty could take the whole thing. We will have to see what book Robert will use
>>for it. In the ICC tournament, it won, and others were shaking their heads.
>>Could this be the same result?
>>
>>ChessTiger comes in #4 this year, and this is really an improvement. If it is
>>using tablebases, I would pick it higher, but it's endgame is not as good with
>>out them. Christophe has done great work with Ed, and I think it will show at
>>this year's tournament.
>>
>>Junior is next in 5th, what more can I say. Junior is Junior, but not this year.
>>The competition is to tough at the top.
>>
>>New Fritz, maybe new book, we will have to wait to see what happens, but don't
>>expect great results. It may be good on chess servers due to amatuers running
>>the programs, but these are the authors. They know what is best for their
>>programs. 6th place this year.
>>
>>In 7th place comes Rebel. This is not a GM tournament, so anti-gm is not really
>>going to factor in. Rebel vs other top programs, is good, but not tops yet.
>>
>>SOS is great at long time controls. And rated highly by the SSDF. We will see
>>where it finishes, but I think the other commercials will spank it a few times.
>>Great program though, and could be one of the sleepers in the tourney. Number 8
>>all the way I think.
>>
>>Now we come to Insomniac, James has done well with in, and did excellent in the
>>ICC tourney. I just feel others has advanced quicker, and Insomniac hasn't.
>>Again, this could be another sleeper. 9th place would do well here.
>>
>>I am only picking Diep here, as the others haven't really had promising
>>tournaments. I feel that Diep could actually do quite a bit worse in fact. I
>>only rank it here, because it will beat up on the weaker people, but doesn't
>>really have a shot against the big boys. Make it faster Vincent, and the results
>>will come :) 10th for you this year.
>>
>>Those are my top 10, I am in no way an expect on this, in fact I haven't even
>>wrote my own program. However, I am very good in seeing the advancements
>>programs have made, and where others have been left behind.
>>
>>I think there are really only two programs that can ruin the ChessBase parade of
>>programs this year. Crafty and Shredder are going to be in the top.
>
>
>you can be sure that crafty17.13 will play it goes same for chesstiger12.9,
>shredder 5 also to add is zchess2.0 .
>
>my estimation is Fritz to be first........followed by shredder , chesstiger, and
>next probably crafty :)
>
>I wish ferret plays too.......it would be then "the great" event without doubt:)
>
>pavel

My prediction: TOP 5 !! 1. Chesstiger 2. Crafty 3. Shredder 4. Fritz 5. Rebel

I think Nimzo and Junior will do good also, and can fight for a top place..

I agree, it would be great if ferret played, but can`t get them all, can we?

Regards,
Alvaro



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