Author: Ratko V Tomic
Date: 20:01:13 10/30/00
Go up one level in this thread
> In this case the chances for kasparov to win all the games are > 0.05*0.05*0.2 and it is 1 to 2000 > Kasparov doesn't need to win all 3 to keep the title, but at least 2 wins and 1 draw. Also the a priori odds should be based on rating, adjusted perhaps with the current match results. Since Kasparov still has much higher rating, even with these losses accounted, his odds in the match are better than 1:2000 or in 1:1000, probably closer to 1:100-1:200.
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