Author: walter irvin
Date: 11:10:47 11/04/00
Go up one level in this thread
On November 04, 2000 at 13:43:44, Bruce Moreland wrote: >On November 04, 2000 at 12:03:29, Daniel Chancey wrote: > >>I was trying to find out how CMSilver fares against the best of the best. >>Clearly it isn't doing well. >> >>Castle2000 > >It might not be doing well, but it could have been an accident. Your matches >are short enough that if it had won like two more games in the "blowout" match >you wouldn't be so sure. > >You have another blowout match going on now though, so it's looking a little >more likely that the version isn't as good as the others in self-play. > >The way you are doing matches you can probably score three ways - draw, win, >blowout. If you start making decisions based upon this you can make a mistake >if the matches are too short to prove that the score is real. Even a long match >can't prove that the score is real, if the score is close. > >It's possible to take the score of a match, and turn it into a statement such as >"There is an 85% chance that version A is at least 20 Elo points better than >version B." > >If that appeals to you, you may want to learn something about statistics. I >would tell you how to do it, but I don't know how. If chess didn't have any >draws it would be easier to do. > >bruce thats easy just dont count draws .play till some one wins a certain number of games .then you can say well A wins 75 games B wins 25 ect
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