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Subject: Re: Strongest new program releases

Author: Chessfun

Date: 18:15:39 11/10/00

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On November 09, 2000 at 12:08:45, Christophe Theron wrote:

>On November 09, 2000 at 02:23:44, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On November 08, 2000 at 21:24:48, Christophe Theron wrote:
>>
>>>On November 08, 2000 at 12:36:59, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote:
>>>
>>>>On November 07, 2000 at 14:53:51, Christophe Theron wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On November 07, 2000 at 12:25:35, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Based mainly on tournament results.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>So you base your judgement that Shredder is the best program on 9 games played
>>>>>back in August???
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Hi Christophe!
>>>>You know very well it has been more than nine games, Shredder has won several
>>>>tournaments in the last two years (it has just won CCT2). Of course it has been
>>>>previous versions of Shredder, but I have no reason to believe Shredder 5 will
>>>>be weaker.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>If those previous versions were that superior, why don't we see them on top of
>>>the SSDF list for example? Shredder 4 is currently number 4.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>>> I do not really pay attention to private
>>>>>>testing.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>You don't need to, of course, if you believe that 9 games are enough to tell
>>>>>which program is better.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>One tournament is not enough, of course. Perhaps I should emphazise the plural
>>>>in "tournament results".
>>>>Even several tournaments are not enough to determine objectively with certainty
>>>>which program is stronger, but they are enough to influence my own personal
>>>>subjective opinion.
>>>>Thousands of privately played games have little impact in my opinion. I hope my
>>>>position is now clear.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>What is the difference between tournaments and privately played games? Do you
>>>think the SSDF games are privately played?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>>> I follow tournaments in which the authors are directly involved, like
>>>>>>the ICCA tournaments, the IPCCC, the French championship (congratulations!), the
>>>>>>Dutch open (congratulations again!), the Spanish championship (I have not heard
>>>>>>from it in a long time, but I think you won the last one... congratulations!),
>>>>>>and the CCT.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>So why don't you say that Gambit Tiger is the best program at this time?
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>It has won very convincingly two strong tournaments, and it ranks number two in
>>>>my personal subjective list at this time. If it keeps winning important
>>>>tournaments it will definitely replace Shredder in "my" number one spot. It is
>>>>simply not yet there. But do not worry, I do not think my opinion influence a
>>>>lot of people here.
>>>>
>>>>>BTW I wouldn't dare to say this myself based only on the few games of the French
>>>>>and Dutch championship.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>But as the Gambit-Tiger author you should be very careful with what you say
>>>>about its strenght, I do not have that problem as I am not involved in the
>>>>development of any chess program.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>I am very careful with what I say about my program. For example, I would never
>>>let somebody tell it is 100 elo points above Fritz6 without reacting...
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>    Christophe
>>
>>I hope that the people who claim that tiger is 100 elo better than fritz6a are
>>wrong and it is more than 100 elo better.
>>
>>I understood that Marcus believes that shredder5 and tiger13 are close to be 100
>>elo better than Fritz6a in the ssdf list.
>>
>>I asked him by email about shredder5 and his prediction for shredder5 is 70-120
>>elo better
>>
>>He claims that tiger and shredder earn from time more than Fritz6a and that it
>>is the reason for the information that suggest that tiger is clearly less than
>>100 elo better than fritz6a(this information is usually based on faster time
>>control than the ssdf games).
>>
>>Uri
>
>
>
>Neither Shredder 5 nor Chess Tiger 13 nor Gambit Tiger 1 will be 100 elo points
>above Fritz6a. Let's get back to reality, please.
>
>Now I'm expecting a "how do you know you don't have Shredder 5" question, to
>which I'll not even answer, because I just have to wait a little bit and
>everybody will see that it was silly to believe claims of a +100 improvement
>over the former best.
>
>It was extremely unlikely that a new program tops the former best by 100 elo
>points 10 years ago, and it is now just more and more unlikely.
>
>I wouldn't be honest if I let people say that my program is 100 elo above
>Fritz6...
>
>
>
>    Christophe


I don't have Shredder 5 nor any any Shredder beta programs to state one way or
the other how strong can it be. But I would be very surprised if even when
Shredder 5 and both the Tiger's appear that they will be more than 30 rating
points above Fritz 6a.

Fritz 6 seems to be a much maligned program, I'm not sure why as it has been
clearly without doubt the best program for almost a year.

It is also the one naturally that developers point to in relation to their newer
programs as regardless of who wins what Fritz 6 being top of the SSDF is still
clearly a target for most to go after.


Sarah.



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