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Subject: Re: Thank you for the number of games!

Author: Severi Salminen

Date: 05:05:09 11/25/00

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>>It means that after the 300 games match we can say that: in 30/G games Nimzo >>8 scores approximately x% against Fritz6 with ponder off.
>
>
>LOL I see no "statistically significant" result in saying that.
>

You don't get it, do you? Do you know what "statistically significant" means? If
we play 10 games we can't say the above because of the low number of games. We
can't say after 10 tournament time control games that Nimzo8 scores
approximately x% against F6 in tourn. time controls. The result after 10 games
is not statistically significant. After 10 games we might have error margin of
50% or even more - that is not statistically significant. After 300 or better
1000 games we can say that maybe 95% sure (I don't have a calculator available)
the result is accurate. Of course learning alters this actual winning % we are
trying to find out with our matches.

Severi



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