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Subject: Re: A idea to foresee how strong chesscomputers will be in future.

Author: walter irvin

Date: 10:33:07 12/02/00

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On December 02, 2000 at 12:06:17, Georg Langrath wrote:

>It is interesting how strong chesscomputers will be in future only depending on
>hardware. Couldn’t you get an idea if you let  two computers play against each
>others with auto 232? One of the computer had usual time controls and the other
>ten times longer time. Then you see what ELO the computer got that had the long
>time controls. In that way you could foresee how strong computers could get,
>when they are ten times faster than today.
>
>Georg
the test you want to run would be better if ponder were left off .because if the
program that gets less time predicts the move then the fact that it gets less
time will be cancelled out .so your test would be good if ponder was off on both
programs .but i think if you take the same program and run it on 2 machines
ponder off with machine A 3 min a move   machine B 30 min a move . i think you
would be very dissapointed at the result .it would be much closer than you would
hope .after a certain point the net gain gets less and less .we are getting to a
point in time where there will be some stagnation .cpu speeds will no longer
come along and save the day .the programmers themselves must produce something
to forge ahead .



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