Author: Ed Schröder
Date: 12:30:39 12/02/00
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On December 02, 2000 at 15:13:29, Howard Exner wrote: >What makes the prediction difficult is not so much guessing the final match >outcome but having to correctly predict each game result. So its possible to >get the final score but lose horribly in the individual game prediction. That is >why it is important to know who has the white pieces first. > >Are the odds of a correct guess 3 (+,-,=) to the power of 6 (# of games)? I already found that the prediction of the match against Anand which was 8 games too narrow. You get too many winners and have to raffle something I dislike. So that is why the contest is as it is now. It is true that at the moment the color of the first game is unknown but in the end the goal is to know how people think the match will end. Chances to win are small, indeed 3 to the power of 6. Ed
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