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Subject: Re: A idea to foresee how strong chesscomputers will be in future.

Author: Georg Langrath

Date: 12:45:55 12/02/00

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On December 02, 2000 at 14:58:45, Uri Blass wrote:

>On December 02, 2000 at 13:33:07, walter irvin wrote:
>
>>On December 02, 2000 at 12:06:17, Georg Langrath wrote:
>>
>>>It is interesting how strong chesscomputers will be in future only depending on
>>>hardware. Couldn’t you get an idea if you let  two computers play against each
>>>others with auto 232? One of the computer had usual time controls and the other
>>>ten times longer time. Then you see what ELO the computer got that had the long
>>>time controls. In that way you could foresee how strong computers could get,
>>>when they are ten times faster than today.
>>>
>>>Georg
>>the test you want to run would be better if ponder were left off .because if the
>>program that gets less time predicts the move then the fact that it gets less
>>time will be cancelled out .so your test would be good if ponder was off on both
>>programs .
>
>I think that you can do the test with ponder on and you do not need that one
>program will get more time.
>
>The only thing that you need is different computers when one of them is 10 times
>faster.
>
>You can do a match between programs on p100 and programs on p1000 when the time
>control is 20 hours/40 moves and get the results.
>
>Uri

Yes a good idea but there is one question. Is the difference in ELO the same
between p100 and p1000 as between p1000 and p10000? With my idea you can examine
that. I think that the difference is bigger between p100 and p1000 than between
p1000 and p10000. But I am not sure. I would examine myself, but I don't have
two computers.

Georg





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