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Subject: Re: A idea to foresee how strong chesscomputers will be in future.

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 13:00:50 12/02/00

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On December 02, 2000 at 15:45:55, Georg Langrath wrote:

>On December 02, 2000 at 14:58:45, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On December 02, 2000 at 13:33:07, walter irvin wrote:
>>
>>>On December 02, 2000 at 12:06:17, Georg Langrath wrote:
>>>
>>>>It is interesting how strong chesscomputers will be in future only depending on
>>>>hardware. Couldn’t you get an idea if you let  two computers play against each
>>>>others with auto 232? One of the computer had usual time controls and the other
>>>>ten times longer time. Then you see what ELO the computer got that had the long
>>>>time controls. In that way you could foresee how strong computers could get,
>>>>when they are ten times faster than today.
>>>>
>>>>Georg
>>>the test you want to run would be better if ponder were left off .because if the
>>>program that gets less time predicts the move then the fact that it gets less
>>>time will be cancelled out .so your test would be good if ponder was off on both
>>>programs .
>>
>>I think that you can do the test with ponder on and you do not need that one
>>program will get more time.
>>
>>The only thing that you need is different computers when one of them is 10 times
>>faster.
>>
>>You can do a match between programs on p100 and programs on p1000 when the time
>>control is 20 hours/40 moves and get the results.
>>
>>Uri
>
>Yes a good idea but there is one question. Is the difference in ELO the same
>between p100 and p1000 as between p1000 and p10000? With my idea you can examine
>that. I think that the difference is bigger between p100 and p1000 than between
>p1000 and p10000. But I am not sure. I would examine myself, but I don't have
>two computers.
>
>Georg

I assumed that the faster computer is only 10 times faster and that it is the
only difference in both cases.

If this assumption is correct then I see no problem.

I suggested time control of 20 hours/40 moves in order to predict the result in
2 hours/40 moves between p10000 and p1000.

Uri



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