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Subject: Re: idea to foresee how strong chesscomputers will be in future. 100ghz!

Author: Chris Hull

Date: 00:13:57 12/04/00

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On December 02, 2000 at 16:10:46, stuart taylor wrote:

>On December 02, 2000 at 12:06:17, Georg Langrath wrote:
>
>>It is interesting how strong chesscomputers will be in future only depending on
>>hardware. Couldn’t you get an idea if you let  two computers play against each
>>others with auto 232? One of the computer had usual time controls and the other
>>ten times longer time. Then you see what ELO the computer got that had the long
>>time controls. In that way you could foresee how strong computers could get,
>>when they are ten times faster than today.
>>
>>Georg
>
>Better still would be if games can be played the equivalent of tournament
>timings at 1 terrahertz, By that, I mean 100 ghz.
>i.e. you would need to give a 1ghz computer 200 hours per 40 moves.
>This, by the way is much much slower than Deeper Blue was, but I am always
>curious if DB would have stood up to it in practice.
>DR. Hyatt would always say "of course it would". But I think it is worth trying.
>Maybe it would triumph convincingly over DB. Although it gives not much more
>than 3-ply more than 1 Ghz.
>S.Taylor

I don't think your experiment is going to work as well as you think it would.
Not only do you need to give it 100x more time to think, to simulate a 100GHz
processor but you need 100x more memory, say 400GB of RAM and 100x more disk
space about 10TB and you need to simulate those 8-piece tablebases.

Chris



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