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Subject: CM8000 - an analysis anomaly

Author: William Penn

Date: 20:27:21 12/04/00


CM8000 - an analysis anomaly

This is an analysis after 1.Nf3 Nf6 2.c4 c6 3.Nc3 d5 4.e3 e6 5.d4 Nbd7 6.Qc2 Bd6
7.Be2 0-0 8.0-0 e5 9.cxd5 cxd5 10.Nb5 Bb8 11.dxe5 Nxe5 12.Bd2 Bg4.  The position
after 12...Bg4 is as follows:

BR  BB  --  BQ  --  BR  BK  --
BP  BP  --  --  --  BP  BP  BP
--  --  --  --  --  BN  --  --
--  WN  --  BP  BN  --  --  --
--  --  --  --  --  --  BB  --
--  --  --  --  WP  WN  --  --
WP  WP  WQ  WB  WB  WP  WP  WP
WR  --  --  --  --  WR  WK  --

This is a known position with 17 example games found in the literature and
databases.  14 games played 13.Nbd4 which may be considered the book move, 2
games played 13.Bb4, and 1 game played 13.Rfc1.  Nobody tried 13.Nfd4.  Using
CM8666 Deep (as described previously, analogous to Shep's CM6666 Deep for
CM6000), analysis yielded the following information in the Thinking Lines
window:

    after 12...Bg4
Time  Depth Score Positions Moves
0:28     9  0.37     1M *   Bb4         (* rounded off to nearest 1000)
1:00    10  0.18     3M     Bb4
2:27    10  0.31     8M     Nfd4
5:58    11  0.23    19M     Nfd4
17:31   12  0.14    58M     Nfd4
23:07   12  0.28    78M     Bb4
41.43   13  0.12   142M     Bb4
2:11:00 14  0.13   448M     Bb4

So my CM personality thinks 13.Bb4 is the best move in this position with a
+0.13 score at 14 ply.  It didn't find the book move 13.Nbd4.  Why?  Well, maybe
the book move isn't as good.  To test this theory, I made the book move.  If
it's not as good, the resulting analysis should give poorer scores (smaller
positive values) than 13.Bb4.  Here's what it shows:

    after 12...Bg4 13.Nbd4
Time  Depth Score Positions Moves
0.16     9  0.56     1M     Nxf3+
0.36    10  0.44     2M     Nxf3+
1:33    11  0.43     5M     Nxf3+
6:00    12  0.37    20M     Nxf3+
17:12   13  0.37    59M     Nxf3+
1:05:00 14  0.29   220M     Nxf3+

Surprisingly 13.Nbd4 gives higher scores than 13.Bb4.  I thought that might be
because the Selective Search was set too high in CM8666 Deep.  So I searched
with smaller Selective Search settings (including a setting of zero, among
others) but it still couldn't find the book move, 13.Nbd4.

Clearly 13.Nbd4 produces better scores, so why wasn't it found and selected as
the best move?  This is an unexplained anomaly, and I don't know the answer.
Does anyone?
WP





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