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Subject: Re: Second nine games Shredder 5 v Chess Tiger 13 Results only

Author: Christophe Theron

Date: 22:03:31 12/05/00

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On December 05, 2000 at 14:54:38, Terry Ripple wrote:

>On December 05, 2000 at 14:33:06, Chris Taylor wrote:
>
>>A big swing to Tiger this time.  These small sets of games are of no real use
>>when finding the *BEST* So many of the more learned people have been saying this
>>for a long time.  Is it really possible to know the real *BEST* With such a
>>large swing in two sets of 9 games, i might as well toss a coin!
>>I wont hide my favourite.  It is Rebel 11 and the Tigers.
>>
>>2nd nine
>>Todays results
>>Shredder 5 v Chess Tiger 13.0  3-6
>>
>>S5    +2 -5 =2
>>CT13  +5 -2 =2
>>
>>I recall from yesterday a score of
>>
>>Shredder 5 v Chess Tiger 13.0  5½-3½   btw, this is from memory
>>
>>S5    +4 -2 =3
>>CT13  +2 -4 =5
>>
>>I have another 6 to play in this mini-match.
>>
>>Chris Taylor
>>
>>Ps. In the Shredder program I set the name Chess Tiger 13.0 or so I thought?
>>The ones posted show Opponent??  So does the next nine??
>>Oh well Pobodies Nerfect!
>-----------------------
> Don't even think about who is winning until you have atleast over 200 games
>played when programs of this strenght are probaly close in rating, then add up
>the scores.
>
>Regards,Terry



It is actually possible to say (with a given confidence) which is the best if
the winning percentage of one of the two opponents goes above a given value. The
thresold value is a function of the total number of the games played.

However your 200 games figure is probably right in this particular case.


    Christophe



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