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Subject: Re: Opponent modeling in opening book

Author: Walter Koroljow

Date: 18:15:40 12/06/00

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On December 06, 2000 at 12:22:21, David Eppstein wrote:

>Has anyone else been following Jeff Sonas' match predictions on Kasparov Chess?
>e.g. http://www.kasparovchess.com/serve/templates/folders/show.asp?p_docID=13336
>
>As far as I can tell, he is doing something like the following: for each opening
>position reached sufficiently often by both players, compute the players'
>performance ratings based on their previous games in that position.  The
>difference in performance ratings gives you an estimate of how likely each
>player would be to win, in case they happen to reach that position.
>
>Then, do your standard minimax (or alpha-beta) search, from the starting
>position, using these performance rating differences as your evaluation
>function.  The result is a predicted opening choice and a predicted match result
>(with the assumption of course that players will tend to steer for lines where
>they perform well and their opponents perform poorly).
>

This is a very good question.

Cheers,

Walter
>I think it's an interesting way of using computers for doing chess analysis, but
>it also seems like maybe a good way for someone who has lots of opponent data
>(Bob?) to choose book lines by using the knowledge of who the opponent is.  Has
>something like this been tried?  If so, how well does it work?



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