Author: David Rasmussen
Date: 01:01:41 12/11/00
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On December 11, 2000 at 02:35:23, Timothy J. Frohlick wrote: >Dave, > >There are physical laws that can not be violated. Right now we have teraflop >"big iron" computers. I am not sure though that we can keep up the pace of >doubling that we have been seeing. > >I remember when we had 6502 processors and I told Steve Schwartz about plans for >a 25 Mhz processor and he could not believe it. Now it seems like we expect the >pace of technology to accelerate. > >I am in agreement with Bill Gates and I do not put much importance in PCs or >computers in general. They will not solve our problems of overpopulation, lack >of health resources or endless wars. > >Tim Frohlick I agree with that, and I don't see what my comment had to do with that. I was merely commenting on the outlook of technology as compared with our expectations. I expect this development to continue, although I understand it will require breakthroughs. We can't push the electronic transistorbased processor infinitely. But recently, a danish company have had great success controlling light in a way that could be used in a computer processor, and the plan is indeed to make a processor with this technology. The electronic processor technology is from ~1960, and still it's been able to evolve to heights people didn't imagine possible. When the next great breakthrough comes (maybe fotonprocessors), I believe there will be as much room for improvement and research as in the electronic case. But who knows.
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