Author: stuart taylor
Date: 01:18:18 12/14/00
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On December 13, 2000 at 20:38:36, Dann Corbit wrote: >On December 13, 2000 at 20:00:03, stuart taylor wrote: > >>On December 13, 2000 at 18:56:44, Dann Corbit wrote: >> >>>On December 13, 2000 at 13:59:15, ERIQ wrote: >>>>how much memory do you think it would take to get such results ?? >>> >>>Memory is not the issue. The number of experiments against opponents of known >>>strength is. >>> >>>To answer your original question: >>>"Does anyone Know how strong is chess tiger on 1ghz mashine elo ??" >>> >>>The answer is 'No.' >>> >>>However, without trying to quantify it precisely; CT on 1GHz is darned strong. >>> >>>But then, I think you probably already knew that. >> >>Maybe near to 3000, according to non-adulterated (-100) ssdf elo testing. >>Certainly according to selective search ratings. > >Nowhere near 3000. It's roughly exponential. A super GM with an ELO of 2600 is >astonishingly good. A super GM with an ELO of 2700 is embarrassingly good. A >super GM with an ELO of 2800 is... Kasparov. > >Win expectency for a difference of 1000 points is 0.00315231 >Win expectency for a difference of 500 points is 0.0532402 > >So against an opponent of ELO 2000, it would lose 3 points out of 1000. >For an opponent of ELO 2500, it would lose 5 points out of 100. > >No chess program will approach ELO 3000 any time soon, against either real GM's >or other computer programs. Both ssdf (until recently when they took off 100 from everything)and selective search (england) calculate based on ELO calculations, and they go up much quicker than normal human ratings using the same system of calculation. And I think that, perhaps, in this way, computer will need to reach about 3200 elo in order to become world champion of humans. Dan, you seem to be quite a mathematician. Though I am a bit interested in deep mathematical observations. I also think I have a beneficial lottery formula worked out. (I don't want to reveal it to the public yet, but I still would like to check it out with a super great mathematician). S.Taylor
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