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Subject: Re: I will continue the match until there is a diffence of 7 games

Author: David Rasmussen

Date: 23:54:17 12/19/00

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On December 19, 2000 at 12:08:16, Christophe Theron wrote:

>
>----------------------------------------------
>Reliability of chess matches (confidence: 80%)
>
> 10 games: 14.0% (105 pts)
> 20 games: 11.0% ( 77 pts)
> 30 games:  9.0% ( 63 pts)
> 40 games:  8.0% ( 56 pts)
> 50 games:  7.0% ( 49 pts)
>100 games:  5.0% ( 35 pts)
>200 games:  3.5% ( 25 pts)
>400 games:  2.5% ( 18 pts)
>600 games:  2.2% ( 15 pts)
>----------------------------------------------
>

If this has to be of any use, you have to have at least a 95% level of
significance. 80% is not very useful, IMO.

The Insane Dane



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