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Subject: Re: SSDF Deep Fritz - Junior 6: 1,5 - 2,5 Now: 6,5 - 13,5

Author: Christophe Theron

Date: 15:09:34 01/05/01

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The match has now a 80% confidence statistical meaning.

The result is 13.5-6.5 in favor of Junior6, which is a 67.5% winning percentage.
For 20 games, the 80% confidence significant winning percentage is 61.0%.

So for me it looks like, with 80% confidence, Junior6 is stronger than Deep
Fritz, at least in this match.

But there is still 1 chance out of 5 (20%) that this statement is wrong if the
match lasts long enough (I guess it will be stopped after 40 games, only 20 have
been played so far).

And it is also possible that Deep Fritz beats the other opponents with a wide
margin and that it is stronger than Junior6 in average. We will see...


    Christophe



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