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Subject: Re: 6 game 40/2 COMP WINS just as i predicted!

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 13:49:01 01/11/01

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On January 11, 2001 at 16:32:14, Lanny DiBartolomeo wrote:

>On January 11, 2001 at 16:01:16, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>On January 11, 2001 at 15:58:55, James T. Walker wrote:
>>
>>>On January 11, 2001 at 14:59:06, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>
>>>>On January 11, 2001 at 14:46:01, Garry Evans wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On January 11, 2001 at 13:39:03, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On January 11, 2001 at 11:43:10, Drazen Marovic wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>   The sad thing is, if rebel had lost by a measly half point countless here
>>>>>>>would still try to deny comps gm strength.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>There is not enough evidence to confirm or deny the assertion either way.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The 1/2 point swing in the other direction (for the comp) is no different.  But
>>>>>>in any case, there are certainly not enough games to make a logical statement.
>>>>>>Only an emotional one.
>>>>>
>>>>>Baloney! We have more than enough games, simply visit Chris Carson's chess page.
>>>>
>>>>Been there, done that.
>>>>Take the individual combinations of machine and program, and calculate the error
>>>>bars for ELO.  They are close to infinity.
>>>
>>>
>>>Why do that?  Why not assume that all computers are essentially equal and go
>>>from there?  If only one is of GM strength then using all of them could only
>>>decrease the argument for GM strength.
>>
>>We can do anything we like and make any sort of assumptions that we choose.
>>Fortunately, we have mathematics to test our models afterwards.  Without using
>>this tool, we are making emotional choices rather than logical ones.  There is
>>nothing wrong with that, but (personally) I prefer a rational approach.
>
>Don't we have enough 40n 2 games to give a USCF type rating?

Not even provisional.  You can't combine every machine/program combination and
call it a single player.




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