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Subject: Re: OFF TOPIC: About Ratings and probabilities, plus a question

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 15:43:09 01/22/01

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On January 22, 2001 at 17:53:10, Paulo Soares wrote:

>Jeff Lischer taught me the standard formula for the
>win expectancy (We) for a program x to win a
>program y, below placed:
>
>We = 1/(1 + 10^((delta rating)/400))
>where (delta rating) = rating y - rating x
>
>I remember another formula that considered a certain error
>margin. I am almost sure that that formula was already shown
>here several times for some people, perhaps Dann Corbitt,
>Bruce Moreland or Uri Blass?
>Does anybody remember that other formula?

Here is (primitive) code for ELO calculations:
ftp://cap.connx.com/pub/tournament_software/

Here is an explation of the ELO calculation (follow the links):
http://dspace.dial.pipex.com/town/terrace/xlw93/ratings/rating02.shtml

See also:
http://www.cwi.nl/~jansteen/go/rating/elo.html
and:
http://www.lobocom.es/~ebailen/celo.html#en
and especially:
http://www.vog.ru/ratings/elodetails.phtml
Tangential, but worth reading:
http://www.geocities.com/TimesSquare/Hangar/5176/internet/ratings.htm
REALLY GOOD explanation in detail of some inner workings:
http://www.eskimo.com/~miyaguch/MCReport/mcreport4.html

USCF Rules:
http://www.uschess.org/ratings/info/system.html

Scottish Rules:
http://www.users.globalnet.co.uk/~sca/scainfo/gradeexp.htm
http://members.aol.com/norfolkchess/sca.htm

Here is a theoretically sound alternative ranking system:
http://www.brainiac.com/royjones/index.htm
Another work along these lines, but not as thorough:
http://rhip.phys.utk.edu/Ranking/Documentation/rankingofsportsteamsv01.html

HTH.




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