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Subject: Re: I'm wrong about 10-0 vs 60-40

Author: Amir Ban

Date: 14:08:36 02/01/01

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On January 31, 2001 at 20:17:17, Bruce Moreland wrote:

>I expressed very forcefully that a 10-0 result was more valid than a 60-40
>result.
>
>I've done some experimental tests and it appears that I'm wrong.
>

No, you were right the first time. Check again.

10-0 gets better than 99.9% confidence for the winner to be better.

60-40 has about 95% confidence.

To calculate confidence, you assume the null hypothesis, which is that the
result is NOT significant and is a random occurrence between equals. You
calculate the probability for that, and subtract from 1 to get confidence.

Amir


>I have no idea why.
>
>bruce



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