Author: Ernst A. Heinz
Date: 01:38:17 03/03/98
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On March 03, 1998 at 04:23:21, Ulrich Tuerke wrote: >Your results don't mean anything. You can't quesion hundreds of games >which have been played by the SSDF by playing a couple of games. When >you play 100 games, your result still has a statistical uncertainty of >about 100 ELO points (order of magnitude). In order to derive a safe >conclusion, you have to play that many games. I know it's a pity but >that's life. > >Regards, Uli But what about the independence of samples (games) when the SSDF results are full of doubles? I.e., the 14 French opening games Rebel vs. Fritz which Howard mentioned seem to contain at least 10 doubles. Thence, their statistical relevance shrinks significantly -- namely to that of 4 other games without doubles! =Ernst=
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