Author: Ulrich Tuerke
Date: 01:56:21 03/03/98
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On March 03, 1998 at 04:38:17, Ernst A. Heinz wrote: >On March 03, 1998 at 04:23:21, Ulrich Tuerke wrote: > >>Your results don't mean anything. You can't quesion hundreds of games >>which have been played by the SSDF by playing a couple of games. When >>you play 100 games, your result still has a statistical uncertainty of >>about 100 ELO points (order of magnitude). In order to derive a safe >>conclusion, you have to play that many games. I know it's a pity but >>that's life. >> >>Regards, Uli > >But what about the independence of samples (games) when the SSDF results >are full of doubles? > >I.e., the 14 French opening games Rebel vs. Fritz which Howard mentioned >seem to contain at least 10 doubles. Thence, their statistical relevance >shrinks significantly -- namely to that of 4 other games without >doubles! If this is the case, then I would agree to your conclusion, Ernst. I would also be inclined to assign a considerably larger statistical uncertainty to the SSDF ELO result for Fritz-5. Well, time should show. BTW, doesn't Rebel's book learning work okay ? Regards, Uli > >=Ernst=
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