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Subject: Re: Junior 4.6 vs Fritz 5 Match.

Author: Howard Exner

Date: 22:34:40 03/19/98

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On March 19, 1998 at 17:13:10, Mark Young wrote:

>On March 19, 1998 at 14:36:43, Howard Exner wrote:
>
>>On March 19, 1998 at 13:03:11, Sylvain Renard wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>On March 15, 1998 at 22:50:22, Mark Young wrote:
>>>
>>>>The Match will end when one program wins 10 games draws not counting.
>>>>If the score is 9-9 the match will end as draw.
>>>I think that the number of games played will be too low to have a
>>>scientific
>>>result.
>>>I have started a match between the Fritz4.01 and Fritz 5 engines,
>>>same opening books , PP 180 MHz , 32 MB of hash tables for each
>>>program, "blitz" 1 hour.
>>>  After 40 games, there score was 20 - 20.
>>>  But after 94 games Fritz 4.01: 42,5  Fritz 5: 51,5   (20 - 29 - 43
>>>draws).
>>
>>How many double games occured in this 94 game match?
>>
>>>Conclusion: when the ratings of the programs are close, you have to
>>>play many many games before you can say that one is SLIGTHLY better
>>>that the other. As I think that ALL programs ahead in the Sweedish
>>>Rating
>>>List are close, THOUSANDS of games are necessary and any conclusion
>>>based on 1 game  (I have read some of them here...), 11 games or even
>>>100 games is RIDICULOUS.
>>
>>I agree that a large sample size is needed for comp vs comp games. If
>>you
>>played another 94 games the match could very well be tied again.
>
>
>
>I strongly reject the logic that match results and game results are
>meaningless.
>If this was the case you can only go by your feelings what program is
>better.

I'm referring to the notion on drawing conclusions from a single match
between two computer opponents - nothing more. I'm not sure, but are you
saying that if A beats B then you could conclude that A is the stronger
opponent? However, if you believe that more matches are required against
other opponents before concluding which program is stronger then I am in
agreement with you. That would be another topic than the above.

 I have been testing computer programs for years and found over
>the years that the cream does rise to the top.

I am following your match with great interest but will not draw any
conclusions from the match result.(other than the obvious conclusion
that
A beat B). I will however draw conclusions from playing over the games.
Thanks for posting them.




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