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Subject: Re: IBM would risk 37 billion dollar

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 06:17:59 03/30/01

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On March 30, 2001 at 08:44:47, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On March 28, 2001 at 23:14:30, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On March 28, 2001 at 16:38:31, Rajen Gupta wrote:
>>
>>>chinook ckeckers, (the checkers equivalent of deep blue)is ready to face all
>>>comers on its web site(admittedly a single processor version, but the same
>>>software)why cant deep blue or even deep blue junior do the same? is it because
>>>it is scared of being exposed for what it really is?
>>>
>>>rajen
>>
>>
>>Why would they be afraid to expose it as an incredible chess-playing
>>machine?  Can't we figure that out from the Kasparov match?
>
>As you know stocks and shares have dropped past months/weeks quite
>a bit. Still IBM is worth 167.3%
>
>After match IBM stock went up most likely because of Deep Blue 22% in 1997
>right after winning match.
>
>So letting deep blue lose on the web now from all commercial progs
>and a bunch of chessplayers who will figure out its weaknesses
>would be risking 22% x 167.3 = 36.806 billion dollar



First, Deep Blue would not lose on the web to all commercial programs.  Some
might tend to report things optimistically.  IE "My program beat Deep Blue"
when it should be "My program beat deep blue one game out of 23."

Second, I doubt anyone would argue that with the current positive impression
the general public has about the Deep Blue project, IBM would be foolish to do
_anything_ to tarnish that image.  When the "shine" wears off, DB might re-
surface, I don't know.  But at present, when you are on top, there is no need to
return to the ring too quickly.




>
>
>
>Last Trade
>Mar 29 · 95.04 Change
>0.00 (0.00%) Prev Cls
>95.04 Volume
>0 Div Date
>Mar 10
>Day's Range
>0.00 - 0.00 Bid
>N/A Ask
>N/A Open
>0.00 Avg Vol
>9,203,545 Ex-Div
>Feb 7
>52-week Range
>80.0625 - 134.9375 Earn/Shr
>4.44 P/E
>21.41 Mkt Cap
>167.3B Div/Shr
>0.52 Yield
>0.55



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