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Subject: Re: IBM would risk 37 billion dollar

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 08:18:17 04/02/01

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On April 02, 2001 at 00:28:42, Uri Blass wrote:

>On April 01, 2001 at 18:42:27, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>
>>On April 01, 2001 at 11:00:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On March 31, 2001 at 21:13:22, Torstein Hall wrote:
>>>
>>>>I do not think IBM stand to loose anytihing. The big public has forgotten that
>>>>Deep Blue ever existed! Anyway, I feel the marketing value of DB is low nopw, so
>>>>perhaps someone with a few extra bucks to spare can buy DB now?
>>>>
>>>>Torstein
>>>>
>>>>Was it really a monster playing chess named DB?
>>>
>>>
>>>I think you are _way_ wrong.  I just got back from a visit to my home
>>>town with a population of about 1,500 people.  I wore a T-shirt that Compaq
>>>sent me (they took Crafty + an alpha, to the Linux expo, and let anyone play
>>>it).  The shirt had "I survive the compaq computer chess challenge" on the
>>>back.  Several people asked me "hey, how would your program do against IBM's
>>>monster?"
>>>
>>>People remember deep blue.  Because _I_ didn't mention it at all.  If you ask
>>>100 random people about the best chess player, human or machine, more people
>>>will remember the name "deep blue" than "kasparov".
>>
>>Exactly.
>>
>>So if they lose a match they might lose a market share and a lot of
>>'deep blue' quotes. The possible market share they might lose is
>>worth 37 billion at wall street and it's worth a lot of PR too.
>
>I do not believe it.
>Bruce explained that your math is wrong.

Even if you do not believe it,
would you take the risk as IBM manager?

>Uri



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