Author: Uri Blass
Date: 07:13:22 04/24/01
Go up one level in this thread
On April 24, 2001 at 10:01:04, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>On April 24, 2001 at 05:06:40, Amir Ban wrote:
>
>>On April 24, 2001 at 03:47:15, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>the best software that is not IBM.
>>>
>>>Suppose there is a match of 20 games at tournament time control
>>>
>>>I am interested to know how many people expect 20-0 for IBM
>>>How many people expect 19.5-.5?....
>>>
>>>If IBM expect to do better result then the average result that the public expect
>>>then they can earn something from playing a match of 20 games with Deep Blue.
>>>
>>>I believe that a part of the public who read the claim that kasparov played like
>>>an IM are not going to expect good result for IBM.
>>>
>>>Uri
>>
>>I expect DB ('97 version) to lose 8-12.
>>
>>Amir
>
>
>Based on what specific facts? How many games did they lose from their debut
>in 1987 through 1995 the last event they played in with other computers? Let
>me see.. that would be... _one_ game.
2 games(I remember a game that they lost against mephisto).
So what suggests they would do worse
>today? we are all 100x slower (or more).
Based on the assumption that there were significant software improvement after
1997 and in 1987 and years slightly after 1987 the opponents were clearly weaker
so the public games after it seem to be more significant.
I do not say that 12-8 for the programs of today is correct but
I have no evidence to say that it is not correct.
Uri
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