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Subject: Re: What is the public's opinion about the result of a match between DB and

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 08:08:29 04/24/01

Go up one level in this thread


On April 24, 2001 at 10:48:02, Uri Blass wrote:

>On April 24, 2001 at 10:05:55, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>
>>On April 24, 2001 at 08:47:06, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>On April 24, 2001 at 08:20:57, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 24, 2001 at 03:47:15, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>the best software that is not IBM.
>>>>>
>>>>>Suppose there is a match of 20 games at tournament time control
>>>>>
>>>>>I am interested to know how many people expect 20-0 for IBM
>>>>>How many people expect 19.5-.5?....
>>>>
>>>>>If IBM expect to do better result then the average result that the public expect
>>>>>then they can earn something from playing a match of 20 games with Deep Blue.
>>>>>
>>>>>I believe that a part of the public who read the claim that kasparov played like
>>>>>an IM are not going to expect good result for IBM.>
>>>>>Uri
>>>>
>>>>First of all IBM would get out of book every game with -1.0 pawn
>>>>disadvantage (which is about the average of what Kure and Noomen
>>>>get in tournaments, sometimes they get out of book with mate in XXX even).
>>>
>>>I disagree.
>>>
>>>1)It is easy to avoid -1 pawn disadvantage by using a small book.
>>>It is also easy to get the opponent out of book (for example by lines like 1.c3
>>>and 2.Qc2)
>>
>>>2)Kure and Noomen do not get +1.0 pawn advantage from the opening after every
>>>game
>>
>>Oh well says the beginner who never visited a world champ.
>>
>>Please visit a big tournament, or ask what the average score was of
>>Nimzo / Fritz out of book and Tiger.
>>
>>The average score from Tiger out of book in dutch open 2000 was +1.0,
>>world champs it was even worse.
>>
>>Please get a bit less stubborn and either analyze the games or take it
>>from someone who was there already for a lot of times.
>>
>>Each game one of those books, either Noomen or Kure, gets out of book
>>with a mate in XXX score against its opponent.
>>
>>That's not a joke. That's REALITY.
>>
>>Even that score not counted the other games the average is +1.0.
>>
>>Most games at a world champ you play against AMATEURS / weak commercials,
>>difference is very little between that. Basically defined as
>>basic income of chess is not enough to feed ones family from.
>>
>>Every programmer who joined these tournaments has EXPERIENCED this
>>problem. Programs aren't humans who FLEXIBLE can pick a new line
>>somewhere.
>>
>>I never manage to explain that problem to chessplayers, like
>>for example team members of mine.
>>They always laugh and say: "how can your opening book be at most 1900
>>rated and the program way better as that? Must be EASY to make a 2500+
>>book at home".
>>
>>It is NOT easy. All my teammembers share they play just one stupid opening.
>>One of them always plays ben-oni. The other plays always accelerated
>>dragon and so on.
>>
>>Recently one of the big criticizers (he 2347 rated)
>>i prepared a SINGLE line for at home,
>>i just took it from NCO99. I got out of book with black very well now.
>>10 moves later i was bigtime won and won the first pawn.
>>
>>Now IMAGINE the problem for a chessprogram if i use the NCO99 book where
>>many lines are already refuted from when playing Noomen and Kure nowadays...
>>...note i already win from all other progs easily
>>
>>If i one day entered the line then i must update it every week to not
>>get outbooked in a tournament, because old lines keep in the book of
>>course. I can't follow daily the latest novelties as published in the
>>latest books and issues of magazines.
>
>You do not need to follow the latest books.
>
>You only need to start soemthing like 1.c3 and 2.Qc2 and I do not see how you
>get negative score of -1 or worse out of book.
>
>If you do not want to get out of book early you also have no problem and you
>only need to build a small user book based on some rare lines that are not
>mistakes
>
>Example:you may include only 1.b3 for white.
>After 1.b3 you may include only 2.Bb2
>
>You can continue in this way and only include one possible reply and not many
>possible replies for every move(you need many possible replies for the ssdf
>games because in the ssdf you need to learn from losing but you do not need it
>for tournaments).

For a human this is possible yes. But for a program you take a *high* risk
here.

>
>
>>
>>If you play a correspondence game, then you search at THIS moment for
>>new openingstheory to play at THIS moment in a game.
>>
>>Now that's just ONE openings line. Even with a small book
>>I need to be prepared to face thousands of opening lines. Suppose you
>>short before a tournament start 1000 correspondence games, how high is
>>the quality of the opening in those games?
>
>It is easy to avoid -1 score if this is the target.

-1 is easy to avoid first move out of book. but if your intention is to
win a few games then you are faced with bigger problems as just putting
1.b3 in book and then end up with all games lost.



>Uri



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