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Subject: Re: What is the public's opinion about the result of a match between DB and

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 10:42:43 04/24/01

Go up one level in this thread


On April 24, 2001 at 11:34:59, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On April 24, 2001 at 11:23:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On April 24, 2001 at 10:19:21, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On April 24, 2001 at 09:34:18, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 24, 2001 at 08:20:57, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On April 24, 2001 at 03:47:15, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>the best software that is not IBM.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Suppose there is a match of 20 games at tournament time control
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I am interested to know how many people expect 20-0 for IBM
>>>>>>How many people expect 19.5-.5?....
>>>>>
>>>>>>If IBM expect to do better result then the average result that the public expect
>>>>>>then they can earn something from playing a match of 20 games with Deep Blue.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I believe that a part of the public who read the claim that kasparov played like
>>>>>>an IM are not going to expect good result for IBM.>
>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>
>>>>>First of all IBM would get out of book every game with -1.0 pawn
>>>>>disadvantage (which is about the average of what Kure and Noomen
>>>>>get in tournaments, sometimes they get out of book with mate in XXX even).
>>>>>
>>>>>I would expect IBM to lose with 18-2.
>>>>>
>>>>>Let's be realistic
>>>>>
>>>>> a) IBM searched 11-13 ply in 97, nowadays programs search deeper
>>>>> b) their book is hell worse as nowadays books are
>>>>> c) positionally it never was good, it doesn't even
>>>>>    know what a good bishop is nor when a doubled pawn is
>>>>>    good (f2,g2,g3 pattern happened twice in games against kasparov)
>>>>>    also it exchanges sometimes queens in a position where not exchanging
>>>>>    wins for IBM
>>>>> d) hardly can use EGTBs
>>>>>
>>>>>So in *all* respects it is getting outgunned. Not to mention EGTBs.
>>>>>
>>>>>No one talked about that subject yet, but last so many plies they can't
>>>>>use EGTBs. They only can use them the first 5 or 6 ply, that's it.
>>>>>
>>>>>Though this is very good compared to not using them, this means simply
>>>>>that all exchanges towards a lost 5 men they will not detect.
>>>>>
>>>>>They lose with induction to everything. The level of software has increased
>>>>>bigtime when compared to 1997. Of course the strategical problems are
>>>>>still there and some positional problems are still there, but in
>>>>>computer-computer games you hardly can take advantage of that. Only
>>>>>a human versus a computer can!
>>>>>
>>>>>Best regards,
>>>>>Vincent
>>>>
>>>>Hello Vincent, some of your data on IBM is faulty;
>>>>
>>>>(a)IMB's Deep Blue 1997 version could search up to 22-24 plys in the middlegame!
>>>>   No commercial program can do that at an average of 3min. per move.
>>>
>>>Actually some lines diep searches up to 60 ply easily.
>>>
>>>60 ply maximum search depth is for like a 9 ply search alrady valid.
>>>Deep blue had a hardware limit of 32 ply so in that respect i always
>>>search deeper as deep blue!
>>
>>
>>DB had no such limit.  I don't know where you got that from, but it wasn't
>>from the DB team or anything they wrote.  They _claimed_ to search to 45-50
>>plies along critical pathways due to singular extensions, which shoots that
>>"32 ply limit" down in flames...
>
>It might be a hardware limit not a software limit.
>
>Note i get on average always 60 ply lines at any given moment, even in
>blitz. up to 100 plies i see less.
>
>This is because i extend more as deep blue probably did. As everything
>is in software last few plies especially i trigger many extensions!
>
>>>
>>>
>>>>(b) There opening book(s) were enormous and I'd bet larger than any programm
>>>>    on the market. They would not disclose how large, but maybe Joel Benjamin
>>>>    could help you out there:)
>>>
>>>Yes like my 10 million move book automatically generated was.
>>>This book on average got out of book -2.0 or something against Kure / Noomen.
>>
>>However, _they_ had several GMs working on the opening book.  I doubt Kure or
>>Noomen would claim to be better...
>
>Kure + Noomen definitely are better making chessprogram opening books
>as those GMs.
>
>Note most GMs play like children in lines they do not know and we
>all know how bad programs react on book.
>
>May i remind you crafty at the world champs playing Najdorf for 3 times
>and losing it 3 times chanceless, despite that in the Fritz game it
>had a few chances as fritz played some bad moves?


May I remind you that we had a broken book there and we could not replace
that wide book with our more selective book.  And with learning disabled due
to a problem I didn't notice, yes it would play the same opening.  With the
normal opening book, crafty will _never_ play the Sicilian opening as black.
And it won't play losing lines as white.  But I wasn't there and we had the
problem...

But come try it on ICC and show me how to get a winning line 3 games in a
row with any program or book you care to use...

>
>Basically all those moves played by crafty there is what we could expect
>also if a GM works on its book!
>
>Junior book is also made by a GM i heart whispering in 1999.
>I do not know whether this is still sure, but i know that many lines in
>its book were not very good for it. Of course you are right in
>*claiming* that potentially a GM book *can* be better, but that's like
>me claiming that my chessprogram is infinitely better as any other
>program because i am a programmer with 2285 rating and i beat any other
>chessprogrammer with me 1 minute and he 5 minutes on the clock,
>as proven recently in IPCCC2001 :)

That is too broad a statement.  David Levy is/was a chess programmer.  I'll
bet you can't beat him at 5-1 time odds.  IM Mike Valvo is another.  Marty
Hirsch is another.  David Slate is another.  This list can get quite long
in fact...


>
>Those 2 claims are very the same. Potentially i can write a program with
>way more chessknowledge as any author who doesn't have the masterclass
>experience which i have.
>
>This doesn't mean that within 1 year of work i do create a better program!
>
>In fact i'm already busy 7 years now and only now i feel it's getting
>real strong at tournament level!
>
>Now this GM who was said to have made the deep blue book is to start with
>a very weak GM. This is not relevant. But it also was a very old GM,
>so he probably knew nothing from computers. And learning to imagine
>how a program reacts on a game is hard.


Joel Benjamin is _not_ a "very weak GM".  His rating and tournament results
prove this..

>
>Also they only TESTED a few games with deep blue. I remember they played
>some blitz games against Rebel.
>
>Now that means that the book for sure was very UNTESTED!


Joel played against it _every day_ working on the book and the evaluation.
I don't know why you think they only tested it for a few games vs Rebel...


>
>I know *exactly* how an untested book performs.
>
>See the horrors that happened to me at IPCCC2001!
>
>
>Best Regards,
>Vincent
>



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