Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 15:48:55 04/30/01
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On April 30, 2001 at 18:28:56, John Merlino wrote: >On April 30, 2001 at 15:43:56, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >>On April 30, 2001 at 13:20:33, stuart taylor wrote: >> >>>I feel It's just a bit tooo inconsistent now. First 5 straight wins for DJ, then >>>nothing like it again, and even 3 straight wins for DF. >>>There must be something wrong somewhere! >>>People can say calmly "that's ok! nothing to worry about! It's quite normal!" >>>OR perhaps, chess is really a game of luck!!! >>>OK, if its proven beyond doubt that all this was the way things go, without any >>>imballance or bug because of things like learning, autoplayer etc. that's fine. >>>But I would like to see it investigated fully. >>> Unless it was that the first 5 games were openings which were advantageous to >>>DJ, but having "learned" them, DF was now well protected from these Junior >>>tricks. Could that be the case? >>>S.Taylor >> >> >>Pick any two programs. Play 50 games. You will find at _least_ one place >>where each won 5 games in a row. There is absolutely nothing unusual about >>this. > >Of course, you mean two theoretically equal programs (and do you also assume >that there are no draws?). And, just to test this, I just looked at the results >of a few 100-game matches, and there was only one instance of a program winning >four in a row. There were no five win sequences. There were MANY sequences in >which White won four in a row, though. I was not ignoring draws... and even with two programs that are 100 points different is skill, I have seen the weaker win 5 in a row in a reasonable match... > >But, hey, that's probability for you.... > >jm Yes it is... :)
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