Author: Oliver Roese
Date: 03:44:07 05/01/01
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On April 30, 2001 at 19:14:48, John Merlino wrote: >On April 30, 2001 at 16:27:00, Peter Berger wrote: > >>c.) The games are indepedent events ( again this is a simplification but looking >>at the games suggests this isn't too far off either ) . > >Probably not far off at all, considering that DF offered a draw when it needed a >win and DJ turned it down, meaning there doesn't seem to be any consideration >for the match score in the programming. > >Has ANYBODY added anything like this to their engines? > >jm Backgammon players have solved that problem for their game. They can compute a table, that gives the overall probability of winning the match, given the probabilities of the different outcomes of a single game. This table is computed with dynamic programming, that means you start with simple matches and build up your solutions combining them. I have seen an excel-sheet, where this is done. Unfortunately most programs dont use something convertable to a winpercentage, to judge their positions, or am i wrong here? Oliver
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