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Subject: Re: Fritz wins !

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 12:16:22 05/01/01

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On May 01, 2001 at 14:10:46, Mogens Larsen wrote:

>On May 01, 2001 at 13:39:04, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>Nothing is known about who's stronger is wrong.
>>
>>We cannot be sure of nothing but guessing that Fritz is stronger is clearly a
>>better guess based on the information that we know.
>
>A guess is just that, a guess. Clearly better is not correct.
>
>Mogens.

You have better probability  to guess correctly if you guess that Fritz is
better based on the result.
It means that guessing that Fritz is better is clearly a better guess.

Even If the probability to be right by guessing that Fritz is better is
only 51% it is better guess and I think it is clearly more than it because I
suspect that better opening preperation of the Junior team explains the first
results.

Uri



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