Author: John Dahlem
Date: 13:41:27 05/01/01
Go up one level in this thread
On May 01, 2001 at 16:03:05, Uri Blass wrote: >On May 01, 2001 at 15:30:12, Mogens Larsen wrote: > >>On May 01, 2001 at 15:16:22, Uri Blass wrote: >> >>>You have better probability to guess correctly if you guess that Fritz is >>>better based on the result. >>>It means that guessing that Fritz is better is clearly a better guess. >> >>A guess is still a guess, not knowledge. >> >>>Even If the probability to be right by guessing that Fritz is better is >>>only 51% it is better guess and I think it is clearly more than it because I >>>suspect that better opening preperation of the Junior team explains the first >>>results. >> >>I don't think that the Junior team had better opening preparation. Just another >>guess. >> >>Mogens. > >Suppose there is a match of 240 games and the result after 50 games is 50-0 and >after 240 games the result is 120-120. > >What is going to be your opinion in that case? > >Are you going to guess that the leader did better opening preperation? > >Another possible guess in that case is that the second program had a better >learning function and they learned from the games to change their evaluation >function or to do better extensions and it may be also both of these factors >together with some luck. > >Uri In my opinion Junior often got WORSE opening positions than Fritz, then outplayed it in the midgame (in the first 5 games). Remeber that in the first game Junior was out of book after 16 moves, Fritz after 21.
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