Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 11:09:53 05/02/01
Go up one level in this thread
On May 02, 2001 at 13:48:04, Chris Carson wrote: >I would like to hear from the CCC group how much K will >gain from having the program for 3 months. In my view, >an advantage yes, but maybe not as much as I thought at >first. > >1. K may not have the HW for the match. >2. To get a real feel for Fritz 7 he will need the HW and > play 40/2 games. >3. K has to prepare for other opponents for matches and > tournaments, I think this will be a higher priority for K. >4. K has other commitments than just matches and tournaments that > will also be a higher priority. >5. K may gain a sense of how Fritz should play at any given time, > and may be over confident by match time. > >None of the above are guaranteed, but in my opinion, lots of games at >fast time controls is not the same as 40/2 on the real HW. Also, my >guess is that K will play some each week against what ever version of >Fritz he gets, but each will be slightly different (ala play different >versions of crafty with slightly different books) and not the same. > >Any thoughts. > >I do think this gives K a huge advantage, I am just not sure he will >have the time to fully utilize it. Just some thoughts. ;) > >My guess now: K wins 6.5-3.5 with a couple of surprises by both >and a couple of blunders by both. ;) I don't think he would just try random openings or something silly like that. He will aim for strategies. In other words: 1. Will it fall to a giant material imbalance? 2. Will it fall to blocked pawn formations? Can these formations be easily created and if so, in what manner? 3. Will it have a NULL move blindside that is repeatable? 4. Are there early positional moves it will not understand? That sort of stuff. Armed with data like that, I don't think you could give them a larger advantage. I don't think GM's have worked very hard at beating computers. What I mean is, they try to beat them conventionally. I suspect that if they carefully studied Raphael Vasques' Anticomputer site, their ELO against the machines would instantly go up 100 points. And if they worked on anticomputer strategies it would go up another 100 points. And if they spend three months preparing for a specific opponent, it will go up another 100 points. You might imagine that they already do this stuff. However, I have had email conversations with GM's after they engaged in high-profile matches against computers. I was surprised to learn that some are actually unaware of the value of closed formations and some of the basic anticomputer strategies.
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