Author: Chris Carson
Date: 12:04:32 05/02/01
Go up one level in this thread
On May 02, 2001 at 14:52:33, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On May 02, 2001 at 13:48:04, Chris Carson wrote: > >>I would like to hear from the CCC group how much K will >>gain from having the program for 3 months. In my view, >>an advantage yes, but maybe not as much as I thought at >>first. >> >>1. K may not have the HW for the match. > >That is irrelevant. That only means that the program will be a bit >stronger tactically. But it does _not_ affect the knowledge at all. >If it doesn't understand that a pair of isolated passers are stronger >than a pair of connected passers in a king and pawn ending, then no >amount of hardware is going to teach the program that, and he will >find out such shortcomings quite easily. And in significant numbers. > >>2. To get a real feel for Fritz 7 he will need the HW and >> play 40/2 games. > > >Not at all. Any GM I know can play blitz games and determine program >weaknesses. The weaknesses are there whether it is blitz or not. The >tactical weaknesses are not important as more time or faster hardware >will help hide them. But positional weaknesses are a lifetime (of the >program) problem. > > > > > >>3. K has to prepare for other opponents for matches and >> tournaments, I think this will be a higher priority for K. > > >With a million dollar prize? think about that for a minute then think >about your statement. What other tournament will produce a prize fund >that large? > > > > > >>4. K has other commitments than just matches and tournaments that >> will also be a higher priority. > >All I need to say is $1,000,000.00... that is a _very_ big priority for >_anybody_. It is a life-changing sum of money. > > > > >>5. K may gain a sense of how Fritz should play at any given time, >> and may be over confident by match time. > > >That's stretching way too far. > > > >> >>None of the above are guaranteed, but in my opinion, lots of games at >>fast time controls is not the same as 40/2 on the real HW. Also, my >>guess is that K will play some each week against what ever version of >>Fritz he gets, but each will be slightly different (ala play different >>versions of crafty with slightly different books) and not the same. >> >>Any thoughts. >> >>I do think this gives K a huge advantage, I am just not sure he will >>have the time to fully utilize it. Just some thoughts. ;) > > >If I were going to play a computer for $1,000,000.00 that is _all_ I would >think about for the next 3 months. Because after winning that event, I could >retire, live off of the interest, and fish the rest of my life without having >to worry about anything. > > > > >> >>My guess now: K wins 6.5-3.5 with a couple of surprises by both >>and a couple of blunders by both. ;) > >I would hope Fritz wins a game or two, but you never know. With 3 months >to practice against the version he will play against, a win or two by Fritz >would be considered a tremendous moral victory. It could easily end up with >zero wins and draws if he is careful. > > > > >> >>Best Regards, >>Chris Carson In a perfect world I would agree that Kramnik would only prepare for Fritz. $1M may do it, but really he won't need 3 months or any other advantages to beat Fritz. I do not expect Fritz to get a win (that would be truly outstanding in my opinion and a real blunder for Kramnik in this situation), however, draws are another story, a few draws with this huge advantage for K would be something. ;) I am still betting on human enginuity (the programmers this time, they have the hardest task and I am betting they can rise to the occasion). :) Best Regards, Chris Carson
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