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Subject: Re: chess programs in the year 2050

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 10:29:22 05/07/01

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On May 06, 2001 at 22:15:47, James Swafford wrote:

>On May 06, 2001 at 11:25:43, mike schoonover wrote:
>
>>yes folks its the new chessmaster 1,000,000!!
>>now with 16 man egtb's
>
>You're kidding about the 16 man egtb's, right?
>:-)
>
>Has anyone done the math to figure out how much space
>such tablebases would require?  I'm sure it's unbelievably
>huge.

At some point, it will cost so much to search the tables that you time will be
exhausted before you can ever find it.  Suppose (for instance) that you have
10^20 bytes stored in the table and you can read one billion bytes per second.
How long will it take you to read it?  10^11 seconds to read the whole table
(3000 years).

On the other hand, a multi-level indexing scheme (or perhaps octree type indexes
where board directions are viewed as dimentions) might be used to make finding
things feasible.

My brother in law's dad has a patent for a technology that will store a terabyte
on a square centimeter (conservatively).  So information density may not be the
ultimate bottleneck.  But the ability to find something in an ocean of data like
that will require some clever thinking.



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