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Subject: Can One Use Hash Statistics To Estimate The Size Of Chess?

Author: Graham Laight

Date: 04:24:35 05/09/01

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Just a thought - I don't know whether it's going to be useful or not.

Suppose you switch off the opening books, and play the opening to the middlegame
from the engine.

What I would like to know is whether there is a correlation between the depth of
search and the proportion of node positions which have already been seen.

Would the hash hit statistics be able to show this?

If this can be discovered, I suspect that we're going to find that the deeper we
search, the higher the proportion of nodes we generate will have already been
seen.

In terms of estimating the size of chess, what would be REALLY interesting would
be to see the shape of the following graph: proportion of repeated positions
plotted against depth of search.

If the graph turns out to be a straight line (a normal correlation), then chess
is smaller than we all think. If the graph turns out to be logarithmic, then
chess is very big, and it's going to be difficult to solve.

Does anyone out there know what the shape of the graph of hash hits against
search depth is?

-g



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