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Subject: I say 55% for Kramnik

Author: Jonas Cohonas

Date: 06:22:13 05/12/01

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On May 12, 2001 at 04:03:14, Graham Laight wrote:

>On May 11, 2001 at 22:23:28, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>
>>Even If Kramnik decides not to practice against the latest version of Fritz 7,
>>his chances of winning is about 65%, but if he still wants to practice against
>>Fritz 7, his chances will increase to almost 85%.
>
>Giving Fritz a 15% chance of winning strikes me as generous!
>
>I'd go for about 2%.
>
>-g
>
>>Pichard.

This is in my opinion complete speculation, last time we got a rating
performance from DJ6 against humans it was 2703 (on slower hardware and weaker
program) so if we assume that this time on stronger hardware, and a stronger
engine, keep in mind that DF7 beat DJ7 which was an improvement over DJ6, DF7
is rated 2750 or more then the numbers you come up with makes no sense at all,
and we should remember that all the top players of today owns atleast a copy of
the above mentioned programs and then some. If we assume the rating of 2750 is
about right then it would be the actual playing strenght, then there is the
matter of perfect endgame which, last time i checked, is a privilege reserved
for computers only, also the antihuman play is almost by definition implemented
in all of todays programs, all this taken into account makes the match, to me,
very open indeed.
Computers never have a bad day, they don't sweat under pressure, they don't care
about money, they haave no ego and they play the board NOT the man!!

Regards
Jonas



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