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Subject: Re: Is CM8000 conclusively stronger than CM5000, or even CM2100?

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 17:36:58 05/14/01

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On May 14, 2001 at 20:27:30, stuart taylor wrote:

>On May 14, 2001 at 20:03:28, Steve Maughan wrote:
>
>>Stuart,
>>
>>> So I'm asking if it would atleast not ever lose a game to 5000, if indeed
>>> 2100, and even, if indeed it would not even possibly lose a match against one
>>> of them?
>>
>>I think the jury is still out regarding CM8000 compared to CM6000, which IMO (I
>>think most would agree) is the strongest of the previous CMs.  With regards to
>>CM2100 this is a completely different engine written by the Spracklens circa
>>1990.  It was quite weak even in its day and I do remember Rex chess thrashing
>>it.  IMO all of the CM range is considerably stronger than CM 2100.
>>
>>That said, it is irrelevant if CM 8000 loses one game to ANY program i.e. has
>>virtually no statistical meaning.  I'm sure in a series of 100 games CM 8000
>>would lose one match to CM 5000 and probably also one to CM 2100.
>>
>>Regards,
>>
>>Steve
>
>Of course one game means little, but something way above doesn't even do that,
>and when there is -1 point from 100 games, I would expect that to come from 2
>draws, rather than a game being lost.
> But I can tell you that although my old Turbo King always seemed slightly
>stronger (in my own tests) than all comers (including Novag Scorpio), when I got
>Genius 3 on a 386 computer, it beat TK every game without fail.

That requires an infinite ELO difference.  Perhaps it only won a small sample of
games actually played by you (e.g. 10-0 romp is believable, 100-0 is incredible
but conceivable, 1000-0 is so farfetched as to be absurd)

>(though novag
>scorpio was slightly better against Genius 3 than that).
>  But CM8000 might indeed lose (a match) against CM5000, I was suspecting.

For a single match, losses are to be expected even for a program with vastly
superior strength (on occasion).  That's why the SSDF plays a bucket full of
games before they publish anything.



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