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Subject: Re: Chess is not like coin tossing

Author: Ratko V Tomic

Date: 19:20:46 05/22/01

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> It has to produce the SSDF list even if you improve
> the hardware.  And it has to produce the SSDF list even
> if you add new programs to the list.  The question is
> whether a suite can do these two things.

As I recall, Larry Kauffman's secret suite used to be
fairly accurate and kept up with the improvements of the
programs and hardware. (Once it becomes public it
loses much of its value due to human nature.)

Larry also used to publish quite an insightful analysis
of the latest programs.units and their capabilities, based on
his test suite and a handful of games against them. He
was usually months ahead of SSDF and his estimates stood
up over time quite well to (and were more meaningful than)
the raw SSDF figures. That was the example (I had in mind
when starting this sub-thread) of high efficiency information
extraction from what some here would call a meaningless
handful of coin tosses.



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