Author: Christophe Theron
Date: 21:37:21 05/29/01
Go up one level in this thread
On May 29, 2001 at 23:01:41, Chessfun wrote:
>On May 29, 2001 at 22:56:24, william penn wrote:
>
>>On May 29, 2001 at 22:11:48, Christophe Theron wrote:
>>
>>>On May 29, 2001 at 17:46:57, Rajen Gupta wrote:
>>>
>>>>NT
>>
>>
>> Come on Christophe why the false modest? You know as well as anyone that Chess
>>Tiger will slaughter Cm8000, you just witness the fritz and junior results.
>
>I don't think it's false modesty.
>With the big wins by both Junior 5 and Deep Fritz over the CM8K.
>This match could determine whether Tiger is #1 or not as an equally
>large win is required. And just because those two produced a large win
>don't mean Tiger will automatically, especially after only 5 or 6 games.
>
>Sarah.
Yes, I watch matches every day that start as a 100% win after 10 games and end
up at just 55% after a lot of games.
I ask for more games when my program loses 0.5-2.5, and I also ask for more
games when it is the opposite.
That's one of the very first lessons that should be taught to chess players:
statistics and margin of error.
As Bob says, the Deep Junior - Deep Fritz match should have opened the eyes of
everybody here, but for some reason it did not.
Now it is true that given the score of Deep Fritz and Junior 5 against CM8000, I
can have good hopes for Chess Tiger 14, but it's really too early to say
anything else. I mean that what has been said could have been said without
looking at the current 0.5-2.5 score, because this score carries almost NO
information with it.
Christophe
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