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Subject: Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point.

Author: Christophe Theron

Date: 21:41:01 05/29/01

Go up one level in this thread

On May 30, 2001 at 00:37:21, Christophe Theron wrote:

>On May 29, 2001 at 23:01:41, Chessfun wrote:
>
>>On May 29, 2001 at 22:56:24, william penn wrote:
>>
>>>On May 29, 2001 at 22:11:48, Christophe Theron wrote:
>>>
>>>>On May 29, 2001 at 17:46:57, Rajen Gupta wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>NT
>>>
>>>
>>> Come on Christophe why the false modest? You know as well as anyone that Chess
>>>Tiger will slaughter Cm8000, you just witness the fritz and junior results.
>>
>>I don't think it's false modesty.
>>With the big wins by both Junior 5 and Deep Fritz over the CM8K.
>>This match could determine whether Tiger is #1 or not as an equally
>>large win is required. And just because those two produced a large win
>>don't mean Tiger will automatically, especially after only 5 or 6 games.
>>
>>Sarah.
>
>
>
>Yes, I watch matches every day that start as a 100% win after 10 games and end
>up at just 55% after a lot of games.
>
>I ask for more games when my program loses 0.5-2.5, and I also ask for more
>games when it is the opposite.
>
>That's one of the very first lessons that should be taught to chess players:
>statistics and margin of error.
>
>As Bob says, the Deep Junior - Deep Fritz match should have opened the eyes of
>everybody here, but for some reason it did not.
>
>Now it is true that given the score of Deep Fritz and Junior 5 against CM8000, I
>can have good hopes for Chess Tiger 14, but it's really too early to say
>anything else. I mean that what has been said could have been said without
>looking at the current 0.5-2.5 score, because this score carries almost NO
>information with it.
>
>
>
>    Christophe



Correction for the above sentence, it's 0.5-4.5. Now this starts to carry some
information, but not much.

I expect the score to be 2.5-4.5 next time an update is published, it happens
all the time. Then it will not look that exceptional anymore.



    Christophe

• Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. william penn 23:57:04 05/29/01
  • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. Mogens Larsen 01:25:28 05/30/01
    • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. william penn 01:41:06 05/30/01
      • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. Mogens Larsen 03:46:51 05/30/01
      • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. Jason Williamson 03:10:04 05/30/01
        • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. Rajen Gupta 13:18:29 05/30/01
        • Re: It's too early to say. Don't make any risky comment at this point. william penn 03:38:18 05/30/01

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