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Subject: Re: OT: AI Will Kill Stock Exchanges

Author: Graham Laight

Date: 02:30:27 06/07/01

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On June 07, 2001 at 04:38:40, David Blackman wrote:

>On June 06, 2001 at 13:01:56, Graham Laight wrote:
>
>>Right now, if you want to buy the stock selection program "Tradingsolutions", it
>>will cost you $1,000. Presumably, it will allow you to select stocks and time
>>your purchases to improve your chances of making money.
>
>Ok. So every small stock trader in the world buys this and runs it on their
>internet connected ms-windows-98 box without a firewall, and probably with file
>sharing turned on for anyone who can connect, and probably they click on dubious
>attachments that arrive in email as well.
>
>Then all we need is a big stock trader who is slightly more dishonest than most.
>He hires a script-kiddie to break into all the small stock trader's computers
>and hack the program so it says "Sell XYZ". Then when XYZ drops to about 1/4 of
>it's current price and is just short of being de-listed, our big stock trader
>buys lots of XYZ stock really cheap. Then he hires the script-kiddie again to
>hack the program so it says "Buy XYZ". Then he waits for the price to reach
>about 4 times it's current price and sells.
>
>This is just one example of many ways computerised trading can make the market
>MORE volatile than it is now.

I agree wholeheartedly in the shorter term.

Increased reliance on computer selection may partly explain the high volatility
of the DJIA right now.

But I maintain that in the longer term, when bugs like the one described above
by David have been ironed out, we'll have much smoother stock graphs.

-g



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