Author: Gian-Carlo Pascutto
Date: 09:37:37 06/11/01
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On June 11, 2001 at 12:34:54, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: >On June 11, 2001 at 11:27:21, Peter Fendrich wrote: > >>Your 100-game example is OK of course but the table covered also as few as 10 >>games. > >Actually, the 55-45 example doesn't match up with the table. > >I verified it with your program and in a worse-case-scenario >(all decisive results) a 56-46 result gives a probability of >88%, which is well below the 95% that Bas suggests. Bas wrote: Therefore the noise window is [45, 55] with 95% confidence. Since sigma is 5 and the window is with 2*sigma, this should be: Therefore the noise window is [40, 60] with 95% confidence. Which is very close to what the table suggests. -- GCP
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