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Subject: Re: Who is better? Some statistics...

Author: Leen Ammeraal

Date: 12:42:36 06/11/01

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On June 11, 2001 at 13:55:31, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:

>On June 11, 2001 at 13:36:21, Leen Ammeraal wrote:
>
>>Although Peter's program can in many ways be better
>>than mine, I don't see how it can be more accurate,
>>that is, as long as we regard, for example,
>>10-5-0 as equivalent to 8-3-4. As you see, I simply
>>divide the number of draws by 2 and add the result
>>to either side.
>
>It is more accurate simply because it does not have
>to do that simplification at all!
>
>10 - 5 -  0 -> 89,4% chance that A is better
>8  - 3 -  4 -> 92,7% chance
>

I had not expected this, and I wonder if someone
can explain this difference

>>Would that be discutable, you think?
>
>Appearently it is, as it gives different results.
>
>>If you do, which of these two results would you
>>prefer?

Yes, my question was unclear. I meant: which would
you prefer if you were player A (the first one).
If Peter's program is right, you would prefer
8 - 3 - 4
to
10 - 5 - 0,
while I would not have any preference. I will think
about this, but any simple explanation is welcome.

Leen



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