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Subject: Re: Who is better? Some statistics...

Author: Leen Ammeraal

Date: 13:22:02 06/11/01

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On June 11, 2001 at 13:55:31, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:
>
>10 - 5 -  0 -> 89,4% chance that A is better
>8  - 3 -  4 -> 92,7% chance
>
>>Would that be discutable, you think?
>
>Appearently it is, as it gives different results.
>

On second thoughts this seems nonsense to me.
By the way, the probability my program computes is
15.1%, or in your terminology, 100 - 15.1 = 84.9%.

Consider the simpler example of these two matches:

1   -  0            1  -  0
1/2 - 1/2           1  -  0
1/2 - 1/2           0  -  1
--------------------------- +
 2  -  1            2  -  1

If I were player A, I would be glad with
this score 2 - 1, regardless of which
match applied. Do you still think diffently?

Leen



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